BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Football
C = conference
* = game played against a conference opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
* = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.
-----------------------------------------------
Michigan St
Class: 1A Class Rank: 42 Conference: Big 10 Conference Record: (4-5) Overall: (7-6) Overall Strength = 163.73
N Date Location C Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W - L ) Opponent Resid M Predict
1 08/30/2019 Home W 175.93 28 7 1A 65 ( 4- 8) Tulsa 11.10 9.90
2 09/07/2019 Home W 185.98 51 17 1A 75 ( 7- 6) Western Michigan 21.15 12.85
3 09/14/2019 Home L 159.03 7 10 1A 39 ( 8- 5) Arizona St -5.80 2.80
4 09/21/2019 Away W * 178.00 31 10 1A 76 ( 3- 9) Northwestern 13.17 7.83
5 09/28/2019 Home W * 172.21 40 31 1A 32 ( 8- 5) Indiana 7.37 1.63
6 10/05/2019 Away L * 177.99 10 34 1A 1 ( 13- 1) Ohio State 13.16 * -37.16
7 10/12/2019 Away L * 149.02 0 38 1A 6 ( 10- 4) Wisconsin -15.81 -22.19
8 10/26/2019 Home L * 159.51 7 28 1A 5 ( 11- 2) Penn State -5.32 -15.68
9 11/09/2019 Home L * 152.70 34 37 1A 58 ( 6- 7) Illinois -12.13 9.13
10 11/16/2019 Away L * 146.80 10 44 1A 11 ( 9- 4) Michigan -18.03 -15.97
11 11/23/2019 Away W * 168.55 27 0 1A 123 ( 2- 10) Rutgers 3.72 23.28
12 11/30/2019 Home W * 151.96 19 16 1A 95 ( 3- 9) Maryland -12.87 15.87
13 12/27/2019 Neutral W 165.12 27 21 1A 54 ( 8- 5) Wake Forest 0.29 5.71
Averages 164.83 22.4 22.5
Best game: 185.98 = 34 point win over Western Michigan
Worst game: 146.80 = 34 point loss to Michigan
Team stdev: 12.70